Menghitung Peluang Timnas Indonesia Lolos ke Putaran Ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026

Rais Adnan

Editor: Rais Adnan

Timnas Indonesia
Timnas Indonesia. (Hendy Andika/Skor.id)

SKOR.id - Timnas Indonesia berhasil menuai kemenangan saat menghadapi Vietnam dalam lanjutan Grup F putaran kedua Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026, 21 dan 26 Maret 2024.

Pada laga yang digelar di Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, Jakarta, 21 Maret lalu, Timnas Indonesia menang dengan skor 1-0. Lima hari berselang, skuad Garuda mempermalukan Vietnam di Stadion My Dinh, Hanoi, dengan skor telak 3-0.

Tak ayal, kemenangan ini semakin memperbesar peluang Timnas Indonesia untuk melaju ke putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 zona Asia.

Sekadar mengingatkan, yang berhak lolos ke putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 adalah yang menempati posisi juara dan runner-up grup. Ada sembilan grup, yang masing-masingnya dihuni empat tim pada putaran kedua kualifikasi ini.

Timnas Indonesia saat ini menempati posisi kedua Grup F dengan tujuh poin dari empat laga yang telah dijalani. Mereka terpaut lima poin dari Irak yang berada di posisi pertama.

Sedangkan Vietnam, berada di posisi ketiga dengan tiga poin. Dan Filipina terdampar di posisi juru kunci Grup F dengan satu poin.

Melihat posisi tersebut, Timnas Indonesia hanya butuh satu kemenangan lagi dari dua laga tersisa di fase grup ini.

Dalam dua laga itu, Timnas Indonesia akan menghadapi Irak (6/6/2024) dan Filipina (11/6/2024). Kedua laga tersebut akan dimainkan di Indonesia. Artinya, peluang untuk mendapatkan satu kemenangan sangat besar.

Hitung-hitungannya, saat menghadapi Irak minimal skuad asuhan Shin Tae-yong mendapatkan hasil imbang dan ketika melawan Filipina bisa meraih kemenangan.

Jika itu tercapai, Timnas Indonesia juga akan lolos otomatis ke Piala Asia 2027. Mengingat, babak kualifikasi ini juga dijadikan sebagai kualifikasi untuk Piala Asia 2027.

Sementara ini yang sudah memastikan lolos ke putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 di luar tuan rumah Qatar baru ada lima tim. 

Salah satunya adalah Irak yang berada segrup dengan Timnas Indonesia. Empat tim lainnya adalah Iran, Uzbekistan, Uni Emirat Arab, dan Australia.

Putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 akan digelar pada 5 September 2024-10 Juni 2025. Nantinya, 18 tim yang lolos akan dibagi ke tiga grup yang masing-masingnya dihuni enam tim.

Dua tim teratas masing-masing grup akan otomatis lolos ke Piala Dunia 2026, sementara peringkat ketiga dan keempat akan menjalani putaran keempat untuk memperebutkan 2,5 jatah tersisa.

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